Kidnapping a leader is a regime change. When a coup happens you topple the leader.

But now we are looking at a civil war, if we are lucky.

it is very early to tell what it is

It is, and I understand the hope, but Maduro wasn't a good replacement for Chavez, yet he persisted because of the support of the rest of the regime. I hope for the best, but this is not an auspicious beginning.