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By that definition no foreign intervention could ever be unilateral because you can always find some local group to support you. By that logic the English conquest of Ireland was locally supported because the Earl of Desmond supported them.

The actual motivations matter because they dictate the outcome. In this case the actual motivations have been stated publicly by Trump a few years ago, they want the oil back. They will happily support whoever ends up in power so long as they hand back the oil rights.





I think you're stretching a bit, I'm simply proposing they have a pretty good case here because much of the world openly agrees with the US claim that Maduro did not actually win the previous elections.

>In this case the actual motivations have been stated publicly by Trump a few years ago, they want the oil back. They will happily support whoever ends up in power so long as they hand back the oil rights.

That's obviously not credible, you can't profitably extract Venezuelan crude without US involvement. There's simply nobody else with the capabilities to do so. Venezuelan oil is particularly difficult to get out of the ground, it's tremendously difficult to extract profitably.


>"That's obviously not credible, you can't profitably extract Venezuelan crude without US involvement. There's simply nobody else with the capabilities to do so. Venezuelan oil is particularly difficult to get out of the ground, it's tremendously difficult to extract profitably"

I see that you do not manage your finances properly. Lemme take over.

Besides I do not believe this "nobody else" BS. If there is a need and money to be made they will find someone with the tech or deep enough pockets to develop it.


> If there is a need and money to be made they will find someone with the tech or deep enough pockets to develop it

There's no need and there's likely to be no money to be made. The extraction costs will probably be closer to $60 per barrel, which is more than you can sell it for.


>"There's no need and there's likely to be no money to be made"

Not your or mine problem. It is up to Venezuela to figure it out either way, at least in a reasonable world it should be.


No doubt, but I'm simply making the point that it doesn't make economic sense for US to go after Venezuelan oil.

>"making the point that it doesn't make economic sense"

Baloney, you said this:

>"You can't profitably extract Venezuelan crude without US involvement"

Pretty sure given enough efforts could play for others as well.


>Pretty sure given enough efforts could play for others as well.

Not really, given the investment involved in developing the necessary technology in the first place.

Only way this could make sense for any third country would be if it was strategic, but Venezuela is kind of poorly located for that.


You seem intent on not understanding my point. Absolutely none of the details matter, the broad strokes of arresting someone in a foreign jurisdiction and taking them by force to your country to face trial sets about the worst precedent imaginable.

That's not setting any kind of precedent at all.

I disagree but that’s hardly the salient point now is it.

So Trump has now explicitly said that US companies are going to take over the Venezuelan oil industry. So much for not credible.

Trump says a lot of things which aren't remotely credible. WTI price is under $60 and going down. The last thing they need is more crude supply into the market lowering the benchmark price even lower.

It doesn’t have to be a good idea for it to be their rationale. They have stated it publicly to the media a few hours ago and you refuse to believe, how utterly bizarre.

Their stated rationale also doesn't have to be their true rationale. For example, it's hard to believe that this is about oil rather than the headlines for Trump.



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