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But also never forget:

"Markets can remain irrational longer than you can remain solvent" - John Maynard Keynes



that quote has been attributed to many over the years. I can find an origional surce.


Yes, the missing point is that you need to have the timing right as well.

Even if you are correct about the direction and magnitude of price movement, if you are wrong about how long it will take you can lose money. This is true for both short and long positions.




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