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There is no chance of Putin being overthrown. The population loves the guy.


That is not quite true. The majority of population is afraid/unable/not want to be vocal about their opinion in public.

Source: https://russianfield.com/180days (see aborted calls rate, and it is not the lowest i've ever seen)

Anecdotal evidence: I live in Russia and I know only a couple of people who supports P. Both pro-war and anti-war people do not.


But you probably live in a big city and mostly have contact with people with similar socioeconomic status as you.


That's true, however I've spent 17 years in a countryside and I'm regularly visiting it. Also, urban population rate in Russia is quite high (at 75%) and 1M+ cities are around 30% to 40% of total pop.


This mirrors my impression.


Sorry but I read many comments here over the past year saying that Russia will collapse soon and Ukraine will push all the way to Moscow


The media made all kinds of groundless prophecies especially at the beginning of the war when everyone, including Putin, were clueless. But now it should be obvious to everybody that it's going to be a very long war and nobody has any idea as to how it ends, and whether Putin's death will actually end it.[0]

[0] He's much older than the average life expectancy for men in Russia (which is probably around 63 years now) and ill but with expert medical care he might still live for another 10-15 years, one just might wonder how it would affect his brain.


You’re right that’s what the media is saying now so we need to update our beliefs accordingly.


True. I'm just observing all this wishful thinking and imagining the future me reading the headlines in say 12 to 18 months. This stuff is literal gold for contrarians like me.




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