It’s a good bet given their spend ratios.

https://electrek.co/2022/03/24/tesla-spends-most-rd-least-ad...

Also, typically in any company revenue and PNL is attributed to the feature accumulating it and investment follows. It seems like a fairly rational bet.

The linked article compares ratios across companies, in this case it is more relevant I think, to look at how much of Tesla's revenue is spent on R&D.

According to statista.com:

2018 6.6%

2019 5.5%

2020 5%

2021 5%

This should give you an idea about your odds.