A coup in Russia deposing Putin wouldn't be unexpected. The Russian economy is going down the drain, and the real world common people effects of all the sanctions are going to be felt more and more. Rumbling from the rabble could push oligarchs being sad about their yachts, mansions and vacations to act. Or disgruntled scapegoated military/intelligence officers taking revenge. Or an Ukrainian hit squad.
There's plenty of time for the situation to change drastically, but nobody should rely on that happening.
> A coup in Russia deposing Putin wouldn't be unexpected.
This seems like the only thing that could possibly happen in the next 3 months that would actually change the situation. But it also doesn't seem likely to happen within the next 3 months.
There's plenty of time for the situation to change drastically, but nobody should rely on that happening.