> If there was a lab leak and a coverup, this meant that the Chinese government likely knew earlier and had more information about the nature of the virus and how it spread. That could have saved millions of lives.
The lesson here is not “we need to prove it was a lab leak,” the lesson is “we need better visibility inside China.” Which is also true for viruses that arise naturally inside China.
Do you think that if you could prove with total certainty that it was a lab leak in 2019, that would change China’s approach to secrecy in the future?
> If this was a lab leak, it means that this kind of research is far more dangerous than we've been lead to believe and continuing without appropriate safeguards puts us at great risk.
Do you think we can stop secret viral research in China if they want to do it?
One of my frustrations with the “lab leak theory” is that it seems to cause fuzzy thinking about future preparedness.
We can’t control other nations and we can’t stop natural viral evolution. Future preparedness is the same as past preparedness: detect and respond. We just did a bad job of it with COVID-19. The lesson is: do a better job.
> The lesson here is not “we need to prove it was a lab leak,” the lesson is “we need better visibility inside China.” Which is also true for viruses that arise naturally inside China.
The WIV was conducting research with US financial and technical support. The lab in question regarding a potential leak was funded in part to look for early signs of outbreaks.
If there was a lab leak and it was inadvertently caused by this lab, would you suggest that we continue to fund and provide support with no changes?
> One of my frustrations with the “lab leak theory” is that it seems to cause fuzzy thinking about future preparedness.
I can't speak to what you've seen elsewhere, but future preparedness should involve more transparency, safeguards that samples are being tested with the right safety levels and actual independent oversight.
It seems crazy to continue funding a bad faith actor without those conditions.
> Do you think we can stop secret viral research in China if they want to do it?
We could probably start by not funding exactly that, not sending our scientists there, not openly exchanging these processes and techniques with them… if they aren’t going to be reliable and upstanding stewards.
Really? Is diplomacy dead? I guess you can probably say "we can't absolutely control other nations" but nations don't even absolutely control themselves.
The lesson here is not “we need to prove it was a lab leak,” the lesson is “we need better visibility inside China.” Which is also true for viruses that arise naturally inside China.
Do you think that if you could prove with total certainty that it was a lab leak in 2019, that would change China’s approach to secrecy in the future?
> If this was a lab leak, it means that this kind of research is far more dangerous than we've been lead to believe and continuing without appropriate safeguards puts us at great risk.
Do you think we can stop secret viral research in China if they want to do it?
One of my frustrations with the “lab leak theory” is that it seems to cause fuzzy thinking about future preparedness.
We can’t control other nations and we can’t stop natural viral evolution. Future preparedness is the same as past preparedness: detect and respond. We just did a bad job of it with COVID-19. The lesson is: do a better job.