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When will the new MacBook Pro be refurbished? (refurb.me)
89 points by simoelalj on Nov 1, 2021 | hide | past | favorite | 103 comments


My M1 Macbook Air was the first computer I've bought in a long time that was brand new instead of refurbished. The only reason I bought new this time was because the keyboard on my old laptop kept burning out and I didn't want to keep replacing it.

Most of my electronics were bought as refurbished, and I've never regretted it. It's surprising just how "new' a refurbished item can be at a substantial discount. And not once have I had a issues with refurbished items. (the keyboard issue for my last laptop didn't manifest until after ~6 years of use).


I keep buying stuff from Amazon Warehouse based on the same principle....heavy discount for a "like new" or "very good condition" items, everything so far has been pretty much completely new, or maybe I'd guess someone opened the box once. Either way, Amazon still offers no questions asked 30 day return and 1 year warranty on everything, so it's a no brainer really.


This is no longer true about the returns - I may have to go to court with amazon over a warehouse item that was empty, and then they stuck me with the non-returned item when I returned the empty box, wiped my review of the 3rd party seller (fulfilled by amazon). They are currently lying to my credit card company about the chargeback. Not fun...


Why would you return an empty box?

Legally Amazon had a contract to deliver you an item. They failed to do that, so you should have reported it as undelivered. When this has happens to me Amazon usually spend a few days “investigating” if the courier misplaced the item, then they admit it wasn’t delivered and send a replacement.

If you report it as “delivered but there’s something wrong with it” then that’s going to trigger them to request you return it, and if you return an empty box that’s going to lead to the “customer failed to return item” pathway.


They probably mean they opened the box and it was empty (i.e. they got sent a parcel, and the item's box was inside the parcel, but the item itself wasn't in the box).

I've worked in quite a few eCommerce companies on the fulfilment side (although not Amazon, but including Amazon sellers) and this is pretty common - the overwhelming cause is that a scammer buys a product from an online store, takes it out of the box, replaces it with rocks or something of a similar size/shape to make it weigh the right amount, then shrink wraps it to make it look like it hasn't been sold and then returns it for the full value.

However sometimes customers also lie and say that they received an empty box, when they actually had the item inside.

It is very rare that the manufacturer will ship an empty box (however it does sometimes happen).

Because of this, most eCommerce companies adopt a policy of "If the 'new' item was previously an unopened return, allow the refund, however if not, do not allow a refund". eCommerce companies track this by using different bins for returned products (or at least by not returning that product to a bin with the same SKU that is non-returned). This sucks for the customer if you are one of the unlucky people that gets a box sent empty by the manufacturer, but fortunately that's very rare (it's a tough one to resolve without lots of theft, as it's very easy for people to say that the box was empty and very hard to prove otherwise).

This is even more difficult with third party sellers, as Amazon may not have full visibility with how they are tracking returns, and those third party sellers may have different policies around 'received empty' returns (I've not seen the above in any official policy, but can confirm it is common practice - again not with Amazon but I've worked with a number of eCommerce companies with similar issues and policies).


Yep, exactly this happened. I even asked them to check the shipping weight from their side, to confirm that it was the same.


Yeah, well there definitely isn’t a requirement for third party sellers to weigh the parcels - in almost all instances the shipping weight field is just calculated based on the packing list and known weights for each item and the packaging material. All large Amazon sellers I’ve worked for did this.

An exception to this is if it’s shipped by Amazon, as I believe they have in-line weigh scales.

Amazon as a company though is almost impossible to deal with if you need to do something outside their regular processes or procedures, and they are heavily bureaucratic from an external perspective (including to their ‘partners’). I suspect you have unfortunately reached a block on their internal flow chart that says “no refund” and the customer services operative has very little discretion to do something different.


It was fulfilled by Amazon, so hopefully at whatever end of this they figure that out and realize they've made an error. I have certainly hit that point, for whatever reason :/


Good luck! They are a nightmare.


Too many people complain about things like this without seeing it from the other side. Like yeah you got screwed, but companies can't accommodate every issue that people claim they have. They'd go out of business. Even someone as big as Amazon couldn't sustain it. Word would spread about how easy it is to scam them and the number of people trying to do that would quickly ramp up. There's enough people in the world who aren't honest or who generally are but think "surely [large co] has enough money".


They actually asked me to. And the box wasn't empty per-say, it was just missing the graphics card. It had the power adapters/manuals and such still, as well as the original NVIDIA box. It was a used item, so it was expected to be opened.


Sure, but the main item was missing. Like other posters have said - you paid Amazon to deliver an item, that item was missing. There was nothing to return at all in my opinion and I would have refused any request to return from amazon. I know hindsight and all, but yeah. If your account is in good standing Amazon would(should?) just refund it. If you have a new account or if you did this a few times already they will be pissy about it.


You sent Amazon an empty box? It's still their fault, but sending back an empty box and issuing a chargeback usually aren't the first things I try to get refunds from Amazon. Their support chat is usually pretty willing to give you a refund IMO (although if you've returned too much / had too much stolen over the years that might not be the case, which I'm guessing is the situation you're in)


They asked me to in the first place, I called them immediately when I got the box. I sent them back what I got, the original NVIDIA box + accessories. I actually asked them to check the shipping weight IIRC :/


Amazon support 10 years ago used to be amazing. They were truly a customer-first company. Today, Amazon support is probably worse than Comcast. They've been winning too long.

I have starting curtailing purchases from Amazon, and ordering from any alternatives whenever possible.


The impression I'm getting here is that he didn't even talk to their support. You can do returns without ever talking to a CSR. But in this case that's a stupid move because when you do a return, you're saying that you'll return the actual item. So when they get it back and the box is empty, they're going to think you're scamming them. It sounds like his very next move was to do a chargeback, which again is a dumb thing to do if he hasn't even spoken to Amazon support.


I did 3 times actually, at first there was no movement on it. I opened the return with support stating that I got an empty box, which they asked me to send back to them.


As someone who had Comcast and has dealt with Amazon support I cannot disagree with this statement anymore.

My only experience with Amazon support was a failure to deliver a $600 item, Amazon not only refunded the price right away after we figured out what was going on, but also credited me $100 for my trouble.

Comcast? HAHAHAHAHAHAHAHAHAAHAHAHA.


I'm fairly sure most of their "like new" products are just returned purchases that couldn't be repackaged for whatever reason. I bought a Samsung Galaxy phone off the site a few years back, and it came with 90% of the original packaging, and the handset itself had no visible blemishes. Pretty good for a 40% discount.


I suspect it's not "couldn't" but "wouldn't": It's easier to sell it at a 40% discount to customers with reduced expectations than to try to go off-script through the streamlined, automated, quality-controlled assembly/packaging process.

Raw parts in, good parts out is easier and safer than usually putting in raw parts, but sometimes putting in refurbished parts. Imagine you need something as insignificant as a replacement SIM tray, a replacement for the bent SIM tray ejector pin, and the scratch protectors, stickers, and box labels that need replacement to get that in and out. The scratch protector plastic film might be automatically applied from a massive roll as the case is conveyed out of the coating machine; it's not made to be hand applied. How would a technician guarantee that it's just the SIM tray that broke due to contamination in the injection molding machine and not a problem with the spring contacts inside the phone? The SIM ejector pin probably costs less than a penny and is automatically inserted in every hardware pack that are stuffed and weighed automatically to a fraction of a gram; do you have a technician inspect each one or just throw the old parts away and replace the whole bag?

As a controls engineer, I work hard to make sure that a knowledgeable operator can run my robotic manufacturing cells with minimal waste. The first 80% of a cell, the no-faults "happy path" takes not too much time, but I have spent hundreds - probably thousands - of hours of my life ensuring that my cells are as flexible and fault tolerant as practical. But it's really hard. Customers are always on-board when it makes financial sense, and often when it makes environmental or ethical sense, but sometimes the laws of physics and the Pandora's box of automation just require some waste and leave a particular process untenable.


Same! So much so that I built a website specifically for this: https://www.dealforager.com

It's pretty bare bones, but the problem I was trying to fix was that it took me a long time to browse the Amazon Warehouse offers trying to find the best deals. Amazon doesn't make it easy since they don't show the new and used prices side by side if you search directly under the Amazon Warehouse category. There is also no way to sort by discount. I wasted many hours until one day I decided it was faster to spend a few weeks automating this process.


The first thing on the front page are some Apple-clone earbuds which are apparently "normally" $5000, discounted to "only" $189.

I think you have some data problems.


I just look at the new price and used price, so the data problem is on Amazon's end. I have no way to tell whether an item that is sold for $5000 is truly worth $5000 or not. I have tried implementing a check for this in the past using some statistics, but I decided it's better to leave some potential bad deals on than to remove them but also remove other really good deals. I've contacted Amazon's customer service about that particular item and they told me they would forward it to the right team, but I don't know if they have policies against ridiculous prices.


"This site can’t be reached"


Sorry, for some reason I have to put the "www." before the URL and forgot to do that. I edited the comment and I'll look into fixing that.

Edit: saw replies, I'll just say it's Monday morning and leave it at that.


No, you misspelt forager as forger in the URL :)


You're missing an "a"



dealfor-A-ger, like your username?


I agree with this -- however, for bigger purchases, keep in mind that warranties are not always "transferable", and may not apply to used products.


Amazon gives 1 year of their own warranty on any warehouse item(at least here in UK). But yes, the manufacturer might or might not honour the original warranty separately to this.


Here in Canada, there's no 1 year warranty, though they do seem to allow you to buy extended warranties.

> Used products generally do not come with a manufacturer's warranty but all of our items are backed by Amazon’s return policy. If you would like additional protection, you can purchase a warranty from Square Trade to cover certain items.

Maybe there are better consumer protections in the UK?


https://www.amazon.co.uk/Amazon-Warehouse-Deals/b?ie=UTF8&no...

"All Amazon Warehouse items are covered under legal warranty for 1 year. If your item becomes defective after the Amazon return period, Amazon will repair any defective item, and if a repair is not possible, we will refund the purchase price in accordance with Amazon's Returns Policy."


I still have fond memories of my 1000 dollar refurbished original Vaio Z. The one with a carbon fiber magnesium chassis and a Raid 0 SSD drive. Worked like a horse for years before going out. They don’t make laptops like that anymore!


I'd love to try one of the new VAIOs to find out if the quality is the same.

https://us.vaio.com/collections/vaio-sx


I've been buying Refurbished Thinkpads for 15 years. I still have two 10-year-old T420s in active use around the household.

There are things I will NOT buy used/refurbished, such as hard drives (I always replace the drive in refurbished laptops and put the refurbished drive into secondary capacity).


I love getting Apple products refurbished, but I wish people on the internet wouldn't talk about it so much. I just bought a refurbished M1 Macbook Air, and had to settle for less RAM than I would have liked because my preferred configuration went out of stock while I was debating the purchase.

The experience is even better now than It used to be. I remember buying an iMac a long time ago and it came in an ugly brown box that screamed "you bought this at a discount". My recent Macbook Air just has a tiny "refurbished by Apple" note on what is otherwise normal retail packaging.


That was exactly my pain point back in 2007 when I wanted to get a specific configuration for the retina Macbook Pro. That's why I built RefurbMe as a comparison and monitoring service :)


Weren't the Retina displays for Macbooks released in 2012?


Indeed, my bad – I meant the first generation of the Macbook Pro (2006 Aluminum model). The retina came later in 2012.


They were. I still have one that I bought when they were released. Well, just a bit after they were released. At WWDC that year, the SF Apple Store sold out of them before I could get there after the announcement.


That first retina MBP ended up lasting me from 2012 until last year when I finally had to replace it. What a great computer.


Mine is still cranking, though it's recently relegated to couch duty as I use the 2019 iMac for WFH heavy lifting these days. I put a $29 upgraded WiFi module in it so that my watch will unlock it (and enables a bunch of other Bonjour functionality), but it otherwise just keeps humming along. I'm wondering if it isn't the computer I've kept and regularly used more than any other in the forty years since my first one.


You may wish to prefix "Show HN: " to your title.


Just updated that. Thanks!


I know it shouldn't matter on a practical level, but I love apple product boxes.

For smaller devices I'll even use them as drawer organizers. They're so rugged!


Apple's own refurbs usually come with a box identical to the retail one except they don't have the graphics and they are just white and just have a wordmark, e.g. "MacBook Pro", in the center, so you can still use them for storage.


I've only ever brought one Apple product and it was a refurbished "blackbook" - really was a no brainer, I got the top of the line model for the price of a base model MacBook with no discernible difference in quality. That laptop lasted close to 10 years with a few battery replacements along the way


That’s more a function of supply. 16gb M1 Air is almost special order. Mine from Apple had a couple month wait time.

A lot of walk-in places only seem to sell 8gb models with salespeople (falsely) claiming that 8gb is as good as 16 or 32gb on an x86 machine.


I bought a white macbook in 2006 from the apple refurbished store, no packaging differences from brand new.

I bought a 13" rMBP in 2016 from the apple refurbished store, no packaging differences from brand new.


Regarding refurbs, I’ve been buying refurbished gear for years without issue, however recently have had 2 bad experiences that make me question whether it’s worth it.

The first was a an official refurb 2018 MacBook Pro which ended up having a burnt out touchbar and battery issues a year later.

The second was an official Amazon refurb kindle, which never reached even half the battery life of a new model.

This is of course anecdata (these issues could have occurred with brand new items as well), but I would love to see blackblaze style reliability data from companies who buy large numbers of refurb laptops vs new stock.

I’m curious if there’s a correlation.


I've bought several MBP's over the years. The 2018 MPB is one of their worst models I've had ever had and still have. I've had the keyboard in-operable and repaired twice. The battery has been services twice and won't keep a charge again.

I'm honestly blown away by the latest version, but what to wait to for the hype to die down and ensure there's no Quality issues with this years model as well. But it appears they may have taken a step back and instead of pushing aesthetics this year, they looked at what its users "want/need".


Those issues would have likely occurred even on new MBP 2016-19 models, esp. on 2016.


I buy refurbished too pretty much every time, and I've had no real problems. Keyboard in 2014 MBP gave out because I dropped a Clorox wipe on it, and they replaced the whole motherboard for free (in warranty). Typing this on a refurbished 2019 16" MBP with no problems yet, though I swear typing lags every so often which I attribute to the Intel processor and some throttling.


> The first was a an official refurb 2018 MacBook Pro which ended up having a burnt out touchbar and battery issues a year later.

Why do you consider this to be a bad experience when it was clearly still under warranty and they replaced your topcase for free - brand new touchbar & battery & keyboard?


Louis Rossman has two videos discussing (and showing the boards of) refurbished Apple laptops.

I imagine the quality varies depending on the third party who does the refurbishing.

The videos contain some colorful language.

https://m.youtube.com/watch?v=XaGHcBZjmWA

https://m.youtube.com/watch?v=YhpDs3AJOyI


I doubt this is the same thing as "Apple Certified Refurbished" store[1] which in my anecdotal (but quite a number of samples) have sold indistinguishable from new products in a sealed non-retail box which is the same as retail except it is plain white, which seems to sell immaculate products (that in my guess probably are either store returns or possibly even new ones under discount without admitting such thing). The board that Rossman highlights is effectively a fixed board from an old unit under warranty, which is probably a completely different pipeline. These specific boards had a known manufacturing issue that Apple is basically papering over.

Best Buy, et al refurbished units are not quite the same.

[1]: https://www.apple.com/shop/refurbished


I have happily bought from Apple’s repair store, but may not do so with laptops.


My point was Rossman's use of the phrase "refurbished" really means "fixed under warranty". Whether a refurbished is worth the risk is of course, one's own evaluation, but the video is not a representative of Apple refurbished store processes.


I would expect computers from the Apple refurbished store are indistinguishable from brand new the vast majority of the time.

Third-party refurbishers would be a different ball game altogether.


Refurbished by Apple or by Best Buy etc?


The refurbishes he's looking at are all Apple-authorized or first party.


Any proof those are laptops Apple sold as refurbished? Rossman has been caught lying about a bunch of stuff in the past.


> has been caught lying about a bunch of stuff

Would you mind linking to some of those? He's not my cup of coffee, but I always saw him as a fair guy.


He got caught using counterfeit parts.


1. How is he suppose to get official parts?

2. He is using parts made by the same company that made exactly the same chips. Is that Counterfeit?

3. He is using parts he scrapped from other Apple Computer when those parts are not available.

Unless it is outside those three options, I dont see how it is Counterfeit.


He can get official parts by becoming an Apple service provider.

And yes, parts with Apple logos stamped on them that are not actual Apple parts are by definition counterfeit.


He already addressed his concerns with this two years ago here: https://youtu.be/0rCUF-V1esM and here https://youtu.be/ANSkQ4gmEkg

Apple still does not provide him the parts required to do the board repair that he's known for, even if he did sign up for their authorized repair nonsense.


He's openly admitted to that, since for the most part Apple will not sell him the official OEM components.


If he wants official parts, he can join Apple's one of service/repair provider programs.


Apple's repair providers don't perform board repair, you're promoting a false equivalency. It's like telling someone with a flat tire to take their car back to the dealership.


No, it's like telling someone with a flat tire to take their car to a tire shop, which gets tires from Goodyear but not patch repair kits.

Rossman could get real Apple parts but he doesn't want to because it'd hurt his views.


For the record, Rossman cannot get the specific parts that he wants, you're saying that he could pay $600 for a first-party logic board replacement when the only thing wrong is a blown capacitor that costs a nickle.


That’s a pretty quick jump to ad hominem / character association for very low stakes.

Rossman’s level of transparency and willingness to address errors is unparalleled.

Using non-original parts in the context of Apple actively making it impossible to obtain such parts - and loudly complaining about it while fighting for right of repair legislation is … not lying, that’s for sure.


Got any proof of that? Genuinely curious.


I hadn't heard about that, any pointers to what he did that about? TIA.


Context: Refurbished Apple machines are essentially new -- but significantly cheaper.

Apple runs them through the manufacturing process again -- including testing and repackaging.


Not All Apple refurbished products are created equal though.

Apple have literally the BEST condition you can expect on any refurbished product on the market. But all other refurbishers (Gazelle, Mac of All trades, Amazon Warehouse, Decluttr...) grade them in a scale (A, B, C) based on their cosmetic condition and add a year warranty as well.


>> Not All Apple refurbished products are created equal though.

You're comparing 'refurbished Apple products' with 'Apple refurbished products'

Two very different things.


Apple is only using this vocabulary: "Apple Certified Refurbished" on their store


I'm skeptical this timeline reflects the current supply chain issues that Apple (and the world) is experiencing. Apple has delayed the friends and family discount on the iPhone 13 and does not allow in-store pick up for the macbook pros (Due to limited supply and in-store staffing).


I think there would still be a supply for refurbished products (maybe a bit less this time with the shortages) – as Apple cannot sell open-boxes or returned products as new.


Bingo - I’m likely planning on returning my 16” for a 14”. After using the M1 air for the past year, the 16” just feels too big.

But even with a 14 day return policy, Apple cant just turn around and sell this as new. I have seen a few open box items at Best Buy though, usually discounted ~$100 or so.


They may not allow in-store pickup of online orders, but they did have plenty of stock of the new MBPs when I checked last week.

Also, for anyone considering an MBP, it appears Apple will again offer 6% back on Apple Store purchases over Black Friday/Cyber Monday. They had this deal last year, and it was offered to some folks (seemingly accidentally) last week. It was quickly removed, but they're apparently honoring it for anyone who got in under the wire.


On average, the discount you can expect is 15% from the Apple store. So expect to see the refurb price for a refurbished 14-inch starting from $1,699 and the 16-inch from $2,125.

I'm a refurb-first shopper/buyer and something I've noticed about Apple's refurbs is that they often maintain their from-new discount as if products released later (sometimes with lower price tags than the returb) don't exist.

Reviewing the store today, it looks like they are doing a somewhat better job of price models for refurbs but maintain a silly discount for things. Example: refurb XS at $550, "save $340." Claiming $340 is fictitious--a new 11 is $500. Maybe XS to 11 is not an apple-orange comparison but the price competitiveness of a new older model phone speaks to refurbs as not always being bargains.


If they went off "ship date" instead of "order date" they'd have more accurate info. Some Mac releases ship immediately upon announcement, others are announced well in advance of first shipments.


Generally it's around 2-weeks from the "announcement date" and "order date"?


This website looks awesome, will definitely use it next time I buy! Super small feedback thing, on your support page (https://www.refurb.me/support) you have some HTML sneaking in:

Refurbished Products <p>Covering answers and tips about refurbished Apple products in general. We break down the answers into sub-categories.</p>


Thanks! I just pushed an update to fix that :)


For a while my yearly OS upgrade strategy was to wait for the XX.2 release, buy a recent model refurb, and then sell the old one once my workflow was migrated. In that situation saving a few hundred dollars on a refurb makes a relatively large difference in net cost. Never had a problem I could attribute to buying refurbs (just some replacements due to the butterfly keyboard problems).


If a large number of the new MBPs start showing up in the refurb store in the very near future... that's probably not a good sign.


Usually the first batch are all returns of custom configurations which can't be sold as new - and sometimes there are good deals.


These are "cold feet" returns usually - its a expensive machine and people have second thoughts.


You know, I wonder if you could buy a new computer, return it for a refund, and then buy the same configuration back from the refurbished store a month later at a discount.


Of course you could, if you can catch it when it's in stock. There's nothing else stopping you from doing that.


This would be hard to track when you see the scale of Apple's logistics!


I wonder if someone could build an apple store app for this


That was the case of the the first Macbook Air M1 (which was super popular): https://www.refurb.me/stats/macbook-air/macbook-air-13.3-inc...

106 days exactly since its first release.

The first batch would be more for people who bought it to review it and return it.


It's interesting to me to see that the outlier in time to become refurbished is the Late 2016 MBP (the first version with the Touch Bar).

I would've thought the new design would've meant more broken laptops sooner which (I would think) would mean quicker refurbished laptops.


I had a macbook pro which was under the recall for the 15" recall...

This fucking machine caught FIRE while in my bed as I fell asleep.

Apple had the machine for TWO MONTHS in the flagship San Francisco Store.

After TWO MONTHS they told me that I could not have the machine replaced (it was under RECALL for battery incinerations) -- IT INCINERATED and caught fire. IN MY BED.

After spending TWO MONTHS at the flagship apple store they said they couldnt replace the machine because at "some point" the liquid sensors were set off... and they wouldnt replace it.

So a machine that was under recall for specifically a battery explosion/fire incident, which actually caught fire was denied the recall because a liquid trigger had been set off was denied.

it took Apple, TWO FUCKING MONTHS to come to this conclusion.

Fuck you Tim Apple


Small claims court might be a help.


Just a nit:

> It should be noted that Apple itself is unlikely to sell the new MacBook Pro as refurbished. As soon as it’s released.

This should be one sentence, at least to my ear.


Thanks for the feedback! I rephrased the conclusion :)




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