Back-of-the-envelope
- Road area. World road length ≈ 60–70 million km. Using an average paved width of ~8–10 m ⇒ area ≈ (0.9–1.3)×10¹² m². Earth’s surface is 5.1×10¹⁴ m², so roads cover ~0.09–0.13% of the planet.
- Albedo change. Dark asphalt is ~0.05–0.10. “White” coatings can push toward ~0.4–0.6 (fresh), but weathering quickly dulls them. So a plausible Δalbedo for roads is +0.2 to +0.5.
- Global albedo change. Δα_global ≈ (road fraction) × (Δalbedo_road) ≈ (0.001)×(0.2–0.5) ≈ +0.0002 to +0.0005.
- Radiative forcing. Globally averaged incoming sunlight ≈ S₀/4 ≈ 340 W m⁻². Forcing from an albedo change is ΔF ≈ −Δα_global × 340 ≈ −0.07 to −0.17 W m⁻².
- Temperature response. Using a standard sensitivity ~0.8 °C per W m⁻² (≈3 °C per CO₂ doubling): ΔT ≈ −0.05 to −0.14 °C at equilibrium.
White roads could potentially be blinding, but yeah something lighter than what we do currently could be very worthwhile. It'd have much higher nighttime visibility too.
I was thinking you could potentially engineer them to reflect IR light, but I feel like dust and dirt would probably quickly eat into the effectiveness. The question is whether it'd really make a difference on a global scale at all.
There are materials that do what you're looking for surprisingly effectively, staying many degrees sub-ambient even in direct sunlight. (See https://onlinelibrary.wiley.com/doi/full/10.1002/eom2.12284 for example). But a roadway is a really difficult use case for a surface coating. With something like 50% of the surface area of many American cities being road or parking, there's a lot of potential room for effectively mitigating the urban heat island effect, but I think roofs are a better target. They don't have cars sitting on top of them blocking sightlines nearly as often.
