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That seige is listed in every major work of antiquity as being months, not years.


Ignore it, Make sure your lawyer is ready to handle it if anything ever come of it. If they had a warrant you would already know.


I know for a fact they do, but it's only serviceable in the state of GA.


Unnecessary.. What would be nice though is a helmet with a camera to replace regular auto-darkening hoods. Maybe with bluetooth so you could rock out on the job, maybe some cams in the back for fire detection.


Biden is literally on video promising that these pipelines would be destroyed, so there is that.


Not sure you'd be downvoted for a clear and definite fact?


I can say from plain observation this is wrong, On many engines you can audibly hear piston slap, older worn crank bearings make a banging noise when the engine is cold. The article cites fuel efficiency, but fuel efficiency is not what most people are concerned with, they care about the longevity of their vehicle.


This is a terrible argument, and clickbait. Obvious enough to anyone who actually understands how bitcoin, or eth work, it does not fit the definition of a ponzi scheme. Most tech stocks fit the definition better. Just because a few centralized banks, (FTX, centralized crypto exchanges are banks) have failed, means nothing, since the original idea of cryptocurrency was to do away with centralized institutions like this.


The burden of proof is on the crypto promoters to demonstrate ability to create wealth. This was not the case up to now, the only thing crypto produced were speculative assets that have very little legitimate uses.

For example, major cryptocurrencies like Bitcoin aim to replace state issued fiat currencies with privately issued currencies that have limited/fixed supply and no connection to the real economy. That's insanely stupid and detrimental. They also aim to preserve privacy when teleporting billions across continents - a dangerous and anti-social feature no society needs.

The vast majority of ICOs and DeFi projects are just a way to do regulatory arbitrage - issue unregulated or lightly regulated securities that are excelent for speculation, but have close to non-existent real world utility. The same for NFTs, completely fictional wealth creation that was powered solely by the speculative search for greater fools.

The field as a whole, despite probably hundreds of billions in real wealth dumped into it by now, produces close to zero value for society, or even negative if we consider the impact of resource burn and facilitation of money laundry. It has spiraled into a pure speculative mania that destroys the lives of many retail investors: https://twitter.com/coinfessions


> The burden of proof is on the crypto promoters to demonstrate ability to create wealth.

For crypto to be financially successful, strictly speaking it doesn't need to create wealth, it only needs to attract it.

Plenty of profitable businesses are arguably a net negative to society - tobacco, gambling, private prisons, ad agencies, data brokers - but that doesn't make them ponzi schemes.


The tobacco industry produces net wealth: products people are willing to buy and enjoy. You might morally disagree with the premise of that need, addiction, but nonetheless, in our current society tobacco products are intrinsically valuable.

Speculative crypto assets are not intrinsically valuable, they have no desirable properties other than the ability to make you rich in the future by selling them to someone else. If investors would be guaranteed their crypto assets will not appreciate, the vast majority would dump them immediately. (so called stable coins are the exception, but they only make sense as a component of the crypto ecosystem, people need them as enablers of speculation).

You might argue that the need to hope for quick financial success is a basic human need, which crypto fulfills, so it does indeed provide value for its users; but by then it's indistinguishable from classic Ponzi schemes or gambling. It's in fact even more toxic than gambling, since it disguises as a form of wealth creation and legitimate investment, as opposed to a game of poker which every investor can recognize as zero sum.


You could define it as value from something other than recruiting/resale – for example, tobacco has real negatives but it wouldn’t be such a common killer if its buyers didn’t feel it made their lives better, at least at some point. Cryptocurrency as a mechanism for exchange could have that as an alternative to, say, PayPal or Western Union but nobody gets aa excited as we’ve seen over saving a couple points on infrequent transactions.


> This was not the case up to now, the only thing crypto produced were speculative assets that have very little legitimate uses.

You're being straight up dishonest. Darknet Markets have been operating for over a decade now, they obviously have tons of legitimate uses and have created a plenty of wealth.


> Darknet Markets have been operating for over a decade now, they obviously have tons of legitimate uses and have created a plenty of wealth

If the only utility of crypto is in facilitating illegal transactions, then prima facie anyone in crypto should be charged with money laundering.


Proclaiming that your intellectual opponents are ignorant without pointing out where they're wrong is a pretty common response from bitcoin maximalists these days.


A part from the fact the he cited eth, that makes him not Bitcoin maximalist: he’s right. Also because the arguments are always the same and in this same thread we have one of the most voted comments saying that the idea behind Bitcoin is “stupid”. Just that. But it’s fine since we’re in HN, isn’t it?


Again, there are no substantive arguments in his post or yours.

I'm willing to listen to where he's wrong, but saying it's due to a lack of understanding ain't it chief.


As I said the arguments are always the same, and saying that he’s a maximalist (without any prove) just makes you classic people that won’t change idea. So why even bothering, man.


Did you reply to the wrong comment?

> Obvious enough to anyone who actually understands how bitcoin, or eth work, it does not fit the definition of a ponzi scheme.

This is indeed obvious to anyone who knows what both of those things are. He very clearly explained where they got it wrong.


Maybe the post was edited? I don't see the clear explanation.

Here's an exercise, I'll replace a bunch of words with their opposites, and present it as my counter argument:

"This is a great argument, and not clickbait. Obvious enough to anyone who actually understands how bitcoin, or eth work, it fits the definition of a ponzi scheme."

Are you convinced? Do you know where you got it wrong?


Cryptocurrency is as much a ponzi as it's a car.

Cryptocurrency in general is not an investment promising profits, but a tool for payments (or a smart contract platform, whatever).

A Ponzi scheme is a fraud which takes money from investors, pretends to invest it in something profit-generating, but only pays out profits to earlier investors using funds from more recent investors.

Cryptocurrencies like bitcoin, ethereum or monero are nothing like a ponzi scheme. There's zero pretence that it would be a profitable investment. Who would even be paying you these ponzi-dividends?

It's utterly stupid to make me spell this out, presumably anyone making the claim that "The entire crypto ecosystem is a ponzi" should know what those things are.


You're still not convincing me here. But you should be rewarded for making an argument I guess -- your snark aside.

I'll use the wikipedia definition for a ponzi scheme because it's simpler.

> A Ponzi scheme (/ˈpɒnzi/, Italian: [ˈpontsi]) is a form of fraud that lures investors and pays profits to earlier investors with funds from more recent investors.

It doesn't say dividends. It just says "pays profits". Those profits in dollars could be realized by the early investors selling their stake. No dividends needed -- though some would say "mining" is a dividend producing activity -- I'm not sure I would though.


Cryptocurrencies generally don't pay profits. Ethereum sort of does if you're staking, but that's out of reach for "normal people".

You always have exactly the same amount of cryptocurrency, with no serious claim made by the authors as to why you should profit by merely owning some.

(Of course, it's a bit silly of me to use "cryptocurrency" as a general term when there certainly are cryptocurrencies which are ponzis. But I'm referring to the "serious" projects like Bitcoin, Ethereum or Monero)

Also, you forgot a crucial bit from the wikipedia page:

> Named after Italian businessman Charles Ponzi, the scheme leads victims to believe that profits are coming from legitimate business activity (e.g., product sales or successful investments), and they remain unaware that other investors are the source of funds.

> leads victims to believe that profits are coming from legitimate business activity

I don't think this is true of any of the big cryptocurrencies.

> and they remain unaware that other investors are the source of funds

Of course everyone knows this.


This is brilliant.


I don't believe I did. And he doesn't. The article is pretty clear in it's thesis and argumentation. Saying "you don't understand something" is not an argument.


If you know what a "car" and a "bicycle" are, it's obvious that a bicycle is not a car. It would be silly for anyone to waste their time by explaining you the difference between the two.

Same applies here.

> Saying "you don't understand something" is not an argument

It's a statement of fact.

Edit: I can't reply below due to HN ratelimits, so I will do so here.

>Saying "it's not" is not an argument, particularly when a good argument has just been laid out in front of you.

It's pretty clear that you haven't actually read the article we're discussing, it does not at any point attempt to explain how cryptocurrencies would meet the definition of a Ponzi scheme.

The part which comes closest is this, but you'd be delusional to call it a "good argument"

>There's already substantial evidence that the crypto space is infested with frauds, scams and ponzis. But I would go further. The entire crypto ecosystem is ponzi. The whole thing depends on ever more people parting with their savings and wages to pay the lunatic returns promised by the platforms to people who can provide the liquidity they so desperately need.

That's just not what a Ponzi scheme is!


Hi, welcome to HN. BTW there are a lot of smart people here who have dug into the mechanics of crypto extensively.

I look forward to a good argument debunking the ponzi scheme thesis. Saying "it's not" is not an argument, particularly when a good argument has just been laid out in front of you.

Edited to add:

> It's pretty clear that you haven't actually read the article we're discussing, it does not at any point attempt to explain how cryptocurrencies would meet the definition of a Ponzi scheme.

Yeah that's not a good argument either. Since I did actually read it -- and it does.


If the idea was to do away with the centralized institutions but overwhelmingly people use centralized institutions which frequently act like ponzi schemes, perhaps the "idea" no longer matters and the actual real-world situations matter more.


An ecosystem is a centralized entity. Sure, Bitcoin is useful when used in a decentralized manner. However, when it becomes consolidated in an exchange or other controlling entity, the risk associated to those values will move out of line with the common consensus. For example, there are whales that move the crypto markets in wide swings to their advantage, and those centralized controls risk everything (increase risk of loss) that has gone into building the technology and applications for using it.

At the end of the day, crypto is likely only useful for one thing and that is an exchange of value and identity for AI/ML applications. Just like Splunk was search for machine data, crypto is payments for machine entities. Until that becomes a reality, the markets are just speculative and uninteresting. Ethereum especially, given no real thing occurs on that chain other than bad code and hacks that lose "investors" millions.

Lightning has been the best thing that has happened to crypto in a long time and the reason why is because it can scale Bitcoin to the numbers we need for large amounts of transactions between machine entities...

> CoinDesk reports: Just over 51%, or 24.6 million addresses of the total 47.9 million, are below purchase price on their investments, according to data provided by blockchain analytics firm IntoTheBlock. About 45% are in the money, which means they are boasting unrealized gains, while the rest are roughly at break-even.


> an ecosystem is a centralized entity

This is the opposite of the canonical ecosystem [1].

[1] https://en.m.wikipedia.org/wiki/Ecosystem


Most people buy cryptos to become rich. The only way that happens is more fiat entering the crypto space, providing exit liquidity.

Most tech stocks have a plausible explanation for future revenues, other than "the next investor will buy your chips for a higher price"


Classic crypto-enthusiast denial.

Your dreamt of, decentralized system that was imagined by Satoshi is gone. It will either never exist anymore and be gangrened by said centralized exchanges (which are the only things that are artificially prop up the value of your coins), or it will go back to the days where you can pay 10 000 BTC for a pizza because someone decided it would be fun. ETH would be worthless without exchanges (because its current value is only propped up by "what bullshit can I sell that mimics real world services but without any legal repercussions when I commit fraud and exchange it for cash, disappearing in the Bahamas in the process?"), doge would be worthless, USDT would be worthless, etc.

A system that has no real world value will not exchange anything, unless scammers like Binance and FTX come in to sell get-rich-quick dreams to suckers and artificially bring in money and "volume". When 99% of your volume is just big traders sending money to one another and keeping the price high (because it makes cryptobros feel good when they see their big number go bigger), you don't have an economy, you have at best a really shit game of Monopoly.


I don't get the impression that you two are talking about that same thing, like, you didn't really give a rebuttal to what they said, how do you feel what you wrote is related?

the best I can tell is that you are saying that centralized institutions having extremely large influence is necessary? in which case I would disagree


Having large, centralized institutions is necessary if you want your obscure, no-application-in-the-real-world funny coin to have value. They'll bring in money by suckering in people in believing it has value.


yes we get it, anybody that doesn't say something overwhelming negative about crypto gets one of your hyperbolic negative auto-replies just in case we missed it the first time

some of your points are clear without the pejoratives

to your actual point, I dont think there is anything inherently necessary for exchanges to make price discovery. people do not need to custody their assets there for more than a few minutes, and properly run exchanges (not overleveraged, solvent) do this just fine

OTC desks never custody and are okay examples of this


> Your dreamt of, decentralized system that was imagined by Satoshi is gone

What do you mean? There are tons of decentralized exchanges I can use to acquire cryptocurrency to buy drugs with.


How convenient that this is obvious enough to only the people who understand how this relatively complex technology works, but not to bystanders. The fact that you think stocks are closer to a ponzi scheme just invalidates the rest of your post even further.


If regular banks would fail with the same rate Crypto venues fail, then you might have a point.


Early banks failed all the time. Give it another decade or so for regulation to start mandating accountability.


Banks failed because they weren't regulated. If we regulate crypto, whole crypto premise is lost. So what's the point?


The only way crypto works is if it had stayed niche.

If (old) people loose money, they will complain, legislators will notice, regulating policy will be implemented.

There is no point. Crypto is a fantasy.


There’s an important subtlety here though:

Centralized entities (ie businesses) that are holding people’s funds absolutely should be regulated, and certainly more than the current state. The scammers in this space don’t have any real connection to the tech per se, they’ve just identified a relatively friction-free way to scam people.

“Crypto” itself (the tech) can’t be regulated, short of coordinating all countries to confiscate mining rigs/validators and make them seriously illegal, thus breaking the network.

So regulating the businesses does not invalidate the premise—it just protects people as they onboard funds.


We can regulate crypto banks, which is what these failed institutions were, without the premise of crypto being lost.

There's a difference between regulating the institutions that hold crypto customer deposits, compared to regulating the crypto networks themselves.


We only need to regulate crypto-banks that are holding other peoples assets.

We should not regulate those that wish to hold their own assets.


> give it another 100 years

We have. We learned to ban what crypto does and put people promoting it in jail.


Eh? When did they ban cash?


> When did they ban cash?

We monitor large cash transactions, and don’t let randos print. We also restrict who can facilitate transmitting it and under what rules. We further made securities fraud, wire fraud and money laundering illegal, a trifecta of crimes most people working in crypto facilitate.


What I notice: We guarantee a monopoly for visa and mastercard, ensure that transactions cost 3-4% for everyone, and make sure that money requires days to move between accounts.

The state of transaction processing in this country is hot garbage. I'm not claiming that crypto is the answer, but I sure as hell don't think our society has arrived at any sort of best solution. I'm personally fine with a lot more "crime" (aka transactions you personally don't approve of) if it gets us a better financial system.


There are instant transactions without fees in Europe. No VISA / Mastercard needed.

https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Swish_(payment)

https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Blik


> Most tech stocks fit the definition better.

The fact that the stock market has almost forgotten about dividends and bubble mechanics have taken over the tech sector isn't a real counter example. That is also bad.


If that is also bad, then why don't we see more news pieces about how tech stocks are a ponzi?


Because the editors of rags like businessinsider hold considerable amounts of tech stocks in their portfolios, as do their readers. And actual businesses with cash flows are obviously not pure Ponzis and some of them will undoubtably be actually successful. The ones where people are investing in the stock, without any dividends, on the hope of growth, selling to the next highest bidder, hoping that the economy doesn't hit a sharp recession and a crash is very Ponzi-like. Early buyers do well, late buyers lose it all, none of the cash from the business ultimately leaves to the stockholders through dividends.

And I'm just responding to the parent post who defended crypto by claiming tech stocks looked like more of a Ponzi than crypto. If you can see the bubble/ponzi-like behavior in the stock market, that isn't a defense of crypto (if you can't see the similarities in behavior between either of them, then I can't help you at all).


I mean communism looks pretty cool on paper too, the actual idea. But we seem to have had a real hard time implementing it. Could crypto be like that?


Except crypto actually works for its intended use cases. I use it constantly.

Maybe it works poorly for traders but those of us actually using cryptoassets for privacy, inflation resistance, and censorship resistance ignore the scams and traders. Scams and traders dominate the conversation of most new technology. Same things happen in traditional markets.

Cults of personality and false promises by corporations inflate stock prices all the time. Takes a while to find the real price sometimes.


Inflation resistance is meaningless for a currency that has wild fluctuations, and not just sometimes, but on a daily basis. You have to be joking to say that something that went from basically 0, to 61k, down to 16k and wild swings in between that is "inflation resistant".


Not joking at all. Inflation hits you the most in the long term. If you acquire deflationary but volatile assets like Bitcoin for long term holding, you use dollar cost averaging so the swings become meaningless. Buy a little every month.

I was buying at $10, $1k, $10k, $60k, and everywhere between. I will be buying at 100k too.

Deflationary assets trend to be short term volatile, but long term up.

https://inv.riverside.rocks/watch?v=XbZ8zDpX2Mg


> those of us actually using cryptoassets for [...] inflation resistance

Heh, gotta say cryptos have weathered their first real test as a hedge against rising global inflation (since early 2021) really well. Meaning, the rising interest rates have almost decimated dollar valuation of cryptos as the tech gold rush imploded.

Please do not mistake this article's author's concern as an attack on the libertarian fundamentals of cryptocurrency. The article is about how crypto has been marketed as an investment to retail consumers, and this space is simply wrought with terrible scams.


Capitalism looks bad on paper and we are having hellish landscape in it and pretend it’s working.

Cryptocurrencies current landscape is just same as the current financial system indeed. Cypherpunk ideals are long gone.


I agree capitalism sucks in a lot of ways, but the reduction in global poverty is at least correlatively linked with the spread of capitalism. Not sure what "hells cape" you mean, but it feels like hyperbole.

(Also just to point out, Communism isn't an "alternative" to capitalism, but actually the conclusion to it... on paper) - That is, even if you're right, Capitalism is required to achieve communism... so it seems "hellscape" is the only way.


Tbf, we dont have that many examples of people trying. Communism sucked in russia, but its not like they are that much better under capitalism.


Every time they try, a lot of people seem to die. Maybe pattern recognition over time isn’t a strength people have.

Same story in crypto. There will be shock and awe when Binance falls and plenty of people saying “real crypto has never been tried”.


How many times is "every"? I count maybe a dozen countries, they were either puppet states of the soviet union and didn't have much local control or they were authortarian dystopians both before and after communism.

Maybe the pattern is toltalitarian countries are going to be toltarian regardless of what they call themselves.

As far as crypto goes, there are like a billion different variations on the idea, most are scams, and i dont think i have ever heard anyone say "real crypto hasn't been tried" before this.


It sucked in Russia, Cuba, China (until Deng made it capitalism).

Australia, Sweden, Norway have been much better examples. Though their secret has been to not call it Communism/Socialism but instead something like "liberal democracy" or "democratic socialism".

Agree there is propaganda war that has been waged to ensure communism looks bad... which is why it's potentially a good parallel for crypto, as I think (potentially even literally not just metaphorically) the same vested interests are against it.


Put back handling SMS please, I don't like having 2 apps.. But i don't care about stories.


Nor did it go up thousands of percent over the past decade


Nobody parks cash at a bank looking for returns. They're looking for a stable store of value. ETH appreciation is not a selling point for replacing a bank, even if the return happens to be positive (right now, with hindsight).


He means to explore these subjects by themselves, i.e. drawing upon the current body of knowledge. This technique works very well, i educate 3 children at home, and more or less their own interests guide their learning, only occasionally do i feel the need to put them onto the path of a specific subject.


If they're at school, they're not being allowed to pick their preferred subjects to explore. School kids these days are literally expected to teach themselves everything, it's not really about exploration or interest.


Mining isn't killing the planet either, mining is securing a ledger. These technologies are for the first time in human history, divorcing the power of the purse from governments, who have only ever abused it. It is the human rights issue of our age, rendering things like inflation and financial censorship impossible without resorting to threats of violence. They provide an open, public ledger enabling new forms of ownership in a trust-less, transparent system, we can use to organize solutions previously mired in human bureaucracy.


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